Celebrating 10 years! 2007-2017

90% projected decrease in the need for legal services done by humans over the next 20 years

"If you're studying law, stop immediately." Enough said. caj11107/27/17
I think the article vastly underestimates the ability for bi lawyer207/28/17
All I see is a ton of conclusory predictions and no substanc 3lol07/28/17
Are you questioning a freelance interior designer from Irela vohod07/28/17
Hahaha, 180. 3lol07/28/17
Still need someone to go to the courthouse! vespucius07/28/17
They don't call 'em trial lawyers for no reason. triplesix07/28/17
Nah. People won't stop having car wrecks, drunk driving, and fettywap07/28/17
They are already working on tech to get first two fixed... A triplesix07/28/17
There will be fewer accidents but accidents still. Most acci vohod07/28/17
True but it doesn't contradict OP... Nobody wants to deal wi triplesix07/28/17
The only area of law truly safe from automation is criminal thirdtierlaw07/28/17
I have a feeling the next ten years will make 2007-17 seem n triplesix07/28/17
Another book I've been reading makes the interesting point t onehell07/28/17
Several Star ups are working on personal flying machines... triplesix07/28/17
I've yet to meet an uber driver who is an American citizen. sanka07/28/17
90% less need for legal services in the next 20 years ?? patenttrollnj07/29/17
The same could be said about many backoffice and general man ternarydaemon07/31/17
Sounds like a lot of wishful thinking. Ppl will build build jackiechiles07/31/17
caj111 (Jul 27, 2017 - 11:48 pm)

"If you're studying law, stop immediately." Enough said.

Look at the fifth and sixth bullet points in this article -

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/must-read-article-how-our-lives-change-dramatically-20-delahunty

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lawyer2 (Jul 28, 2017 - 2:12 pm)

I think the article vastly underestimates the ability for big business, lobbyist and law makers (mostly lawyers) to forestall any sort of progressive disruption in the legal field.

Just remember, it's 2017 and we still only get five-tenths of 1 percent of total energy consumed in the US from Solar.

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3lol (Jul 28, 2017 - 12:06 am)

All I see is a ton of conclusory predictions and no substance to back them up

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vohod (Jul 28, 2017 - 6:59 am)

Are you questioning a freelance interior designer from Ireland's conclusions on socio-economic outcomes? By what right!?

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3lol (Jul 28, 2017 - 2:40 pm)

Hahaha, 180.

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vespucius (Jul 28, 2017 - 12:07 am)

Still need someone to go to the courthouse!

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triplesix (Jul 28, 2017 - 8:51 am)

They don't call 'em trial lawyers for no reason.

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fettywap (Jul 28, 2017 - 9:15 am)

Nah. People won't stop having car wrecks, drunk driving, and getting divorced.

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triplesix (Jul 28, 2017 - 9:16 am)

They are already working on tech to get first two fixed... And people are marrying less and less every year.

Are you a Boomer?

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vohod (Jul 28, 2017 - 9:18 am)

There will be fewer accidents but accidents still. Most accidents are already handled by a nonatty MomJob person reviewing pictures and determining liability from their sofa at $41,750 per annum.

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triplesix (Jul 28, 2017 - 9:34 am)

True but it doesn't contradict OP... Nobody wants to deal with lawyers

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thirdtierlaw (Jul 28, 2017 - 10:33 am)

The only area of law truly safe from automation is criminal work. That pesky constitution will keep it that way.

As much as I'd like to be a transactional attorney, machine learning technology is advancing at an insane rate.

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triplesix (Jul 28, 2017 - 10:37 am)

I have a feeling the next ten years will make 2007-17 seem not so bad after all for entry level law game.

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onehell (Jul 28, 2017 - 2:02 pm)

Another book I've been reading makes the interesting point that tasks WE perceive as complex are the tasks that have been seen as more secure. So we once thought that robots would be doing the "dirty or dangerous" work and that it was the low-level unskilled jobs that were at risk.

But the way it's actually turned out is that the most complex things are brains do are not "thought work," but rather the things we perceive as mundane. Like the incredible balancing tasks we're not even aware of but are constantly performing just to walk on two legs. C3PO's ability to simply walk on two legs would be much harder to achieve in real life than his AI.

That said, I would still temper predictions like this. As the mathematicians say, every line is a curve but not every curve is a line. You can't just take current rates of progress and extrapolate them out indefinitely. Look at Back to the Future. In the 80s we thought we'd have flying cars by now. We don't, and there's no plans for us to do that. Instead, we have the more modest goal of self-driving vehicles but even that, I suspect, will eventually get paired down to places where there are fewer variables. Like autonomous vehicles become common, but you can only use autopilot on interstate highways where there are no pedestrians, for example.

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triplesix (Jul 28, 2017 - 2:04 pm)

Several Star ups are working on personal flying machines...

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sanka (Jul 28, 2017 - 3:45 pm)

I've yet to meet an uber driver who is an American citizen.

Everything is done by algorithm controlled apps on your phone.

Your jd is useless. Why hire a lawyer? There's an app for that.

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patenttrollnj (Jul 29, 2017 - 11:15 pm)

90% less need for legal services in the next 20 years ??

But ... didn't that already happen?

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ternarydaemon (Jul 31, 2017 - 9:32 pm)

The same could be said about many backoffice and general managerial positions. Entry level and capture-based, non-congnitive tasks are of course at risk of being replaced by robots. For analogy, you could replace a receptionist in a law firm, but you cannot replace a seasoned secretary for a partner, since the secretary makes the life of the partner easier, thus freeing him time to bill more hours for the firm.

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jackiechiles (Jul 31, 2017 - 9:52 pm)

Sounds like a lot of wishful thinking. Ppl will build buildings that leak and fall apart. Even if robots do that, the building will still leak and fall apart.

Doctors and/or robots will still accidentally kill ppl with the wrong treatment.

Ppl will trip and fall. In fact, this area of law will skyrocket as the population ages.

People will die and their family will get in arguments about inheritance etc

Partners will split and argue over their share

Divorces will happen

Dogs will bite

There's more than enough dumb crap people do to keep lawyers busy for a long time without car wreck cases. I hate car wreck cases and hope they go away personally, even though they have become 50% of what I do now. I just spend less time on cases that interest me because I'm going through the motions on bs car wreck cases

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